Series Win/Draw/loss stats:
The Hoops and The Goats have met 26 times in the history of the two clubs, in MLS play, with Dallas carrying 12 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses in those matches. Dallas definitely have an edge with twice as many wins as Chivas, but the Goats have never made it easy for FCD to walk away with 3 points, if any.
FCD also have an advantage against Chivas USA while playing at home as FCD have won 6, drawn 6 and only lost 2 of the previous 14 matches. This means 6 of the 8 draws in the series history have occurred in Dallas making it that much more likely of a result this weekend.
Series Goals Stats:
There have been 65 goals in all of the matches combined with these two clubs and FCD holds a small, but respectable, advantage in this category. FCD have scored 36 of these while CUSA have only scored 29 goals. This comes out to be an average of 2.6 goals per game meaning 2-3 goals on Saturday would be reasonable, but nothing special.
At Dallas FCD have notched 16 of their goals while Chivas have only got 11 of theirs. This puts the average for these two squads at just over 2 goals per game in Dallas and I believe that is a very reasonable prediction for this Saturdays match. Cubo Torres will likely find the back of the net whereas FCD have to hope Michel can continue his form and Blas Perez will find the back of the net after a dry spell.
This year's first Matchup:
It was a game of few shots, but each one seemed to be very dangerous and the match could have had a much different and much higher scoreline. Fabian Castillo found the back of the net in the 71st minute (this was the 3rd game of the season and he hasn't scored since) after a header from Thomas off a Diaz free kick. Je-Vaughn Watson scored the eventual match winner in the 79th minute after a fantastic through ball from Mauro Diaz to put FCD up 2-0. Cubo Torres got one back in the 81st minute when he tapped the ball in off a cross at the front post. It wasn't meant to be for Chivas as FCD struck back almost immediately when Michel hit a strong free kick on the ground (that took a deflection) and beat Dan Kennedy at the front post making the game 3-1 and the scoreline held to give FCD the victory at Toyota Stadium. Full match highlights are below.
Prediction Based on History:
This match is pretty tough to predict based on the current form and situations these clubs are in. I think either team could come out and perform terribly and give the other side an easy win, but I think both teams will be motivated to send a message to the league this weekend and this match will end in a stalemate. Based on the history of draws at Dallas and 2 goal matches I am comfortably (as comfortable as I can get when predicting an FCD or Chivas, nevertheless them playing each other, match) predicting a 1-1 draw at Toyota Stadium on Saturday night.