Series Win/Draw/Loss Stats:
FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes have a large chunk of matches to make predictions on, as the two sides have met on 51 occasions in MLS play. San Jose has an advantage in the all-time series with 24 wins and Dallas has only 16 wins. It looks like San Jose has a strong advantage in terms of wins, but there have also been 11 draws as well.
In Dallas these two sides have met 25 times and there is only a slim difference in the results. FCD has won 10 of the matches while San Jose has won on 9 occasions meaning there have been 6 draws as well. There is no strong margin here so it looks to be fairly even when heading into Frisco.
Series Goals Stats:
San Jose have scored plenty more goals than Dallas throughout MLS play. The Earthquakes have scored 84 goals whereas FCD have only notched 58 goals. There is definitely a strong edge for San Jose in the goals department, but not by a whole lot in Frisco.
In Frisco San Jose have only scored 35 goals, but it is still slightly more than FCD have scored in the past with only 32 goals in 25 matches. This means both teams are averaging a little over 1 goal per game while playing in Dallas.
FC Dallas and San Jose have already met once this season with my historical prediction being right on the money with San Jose winning 2-1 at the Earthquakes Stadium (Buck Shaw.) FC Dallas could not take advantage of a first half red card by Shea Salinas for a risky challenge on Zach Loyd as they fell behind two goals before scoring a consolation goal in the 76th minute from a Roberto Carlos'esque free kick. Highlights from this match are below.
Prediction Based on History:
Although FC Dallas have a slight advantage (only 1 win) I don't think it's enough to justify predicting a win in this match. San Jose have scored more goals in the series history (just a few more) so I think it evens the match up there. Both teams average just over 1 goal per game playing in Frisco, so I would imagine given the history and the circumstances that both teams are missing key players, FCD will only be able to grab a point against San Jose on Saturday as they draw 1-1.